How To Bet On The Moneyline
Moneyline betting is the simplest form of betting on sports. Whether you’re new to gambling or a seasoned bettor, you’ve likely already placed a moneyline bet at some point in your life.
When betting on odds with a positive figure, you need to be $100 to make a profit of that figure in dollars. If betting on the Astros, you would only need to bet $100 to make a profit of $140 if they win. If your prediction is correct, your bet will win. Should your prediction be incorrect, your bet will lose. Moneyline A moneyline is a straight up bet on the outcome of a game. The favorite is always indicated by a minus sign (-), and the underdog is indicated by a plus sign (+). In the case of the favorite, the moneyline is the amount a bettor would have to wager to win $100.
Moneyline bettors don’t care about how many points that games are won by or how many total points are scored. In most sports, one team wins and one team loses. Your job in moneyline betting is to pick the winner of the game, match, race or event. If they win, you win. Pretty simple.
Think of it as the traditional bets you would make with your buddies whether you’re debating team supremacy from the bar, in the office or in the group chat.
For example, an overconfident peer claims their squad is the best in the land. It just so happens that team plays your team this weekend. (If this scenario doesn’t lead to a wager of some sort, you need to find more entertaining people to surround yourself with.) You decide to offer up a bet on the winner of the matchup. Loser has to offer up cash, buy lunch or humiliate themselves in some fashion.
That’s moneyline betting, at its simplest form — picking an outright winner without the point spread involved is moneyline betting.
It’s a little more complicated than that, but not much.
Let’s learn more about it.
How to Identify the Moneyline
Where can you find the moneyline at the sportsbook or online? In most sports, three major categories are listed for you to place a wager on. On the left side, it will typically show the point spread of the game, while the over/under point total resides on the far right.
The moneyline numbers sit in the middle. Usually the team listed with a negative number is the favorite, while the underdog will likely have a positive number. These numbers will likely fluctuate a bit leading up to the start of the event.
Betting the Moneyline Favorite
If you’re new to the growing sports industry, you’re probably thinking this sports betting thing is pretty easy. Just pick a winner and I get paid? Why not bet every favorite, get rich and quit my job?
If only it were that easy.
Put simply, you’re betting a lot to win a little if you decide to go with this strategy. It seems like a sure thing a particular team will win, but upsets happen. That’s why we watch games. It would be boring if the favorites always won.
Is it worth the risk of financial loss when the payout would be so low? That’s the balancing act sports bettors face when considering picking the favorite straight up in a moneyline play.
Betting the Moneyline Underdog
On the other hand, if you decide to bet the underdog, you have a chance to win a lot by betting a little, which makes for a thrilling bet placement.
Is there a big and unexpected outcome you think could shock the sports world? Bet the underdog on the moneyline, win big and brag to your friends.
Or, if you see a slight underdog you feel has a decent shot at not only covering the spread but winning, put some action on the moneyline to increase your payout.
Some bettors will bet the underdog on the moneyline as well as picking the team to cover the spread in an effort to protect themselves in case one bet hits and not the other.
Moneyline Parlays
One sports betting strategy some bettors go with is parlaying moneyline plays. If you are extremely confident in two or more moneyline outcomes, combine them into your wager and cash your ticket with a higher payout if all outcomes go your way. Keep in mind if just one team loses, you lose the bet.
On the flip side, if you start betting multiple underdogs on the moneyline and are successful, the little amount you put on the line could turn into a big-time payday.
Moneyline Examples
Now that you have the basics, let’s dive in to some real-life examples.
How to bet the moneyline in NFL
Example 1
Let’s take the biggest game of last season: Super Bowl 54 between the KansasCityChiefs and the SanFrancisco49ers.
According to the WestGate SuperBook in LasVegas, the Chiefs came into the game as slight favorites and a -130 listing on the moneyline. As small underdogs, the 49ers entered the game with a +110 moneyline.
You can tell sportsbooks anticipated a close game due to both numbers being very close to 100 either way.
To make this easier to calculate in your head, you can think of it this way. If you bet $130 on the favored Chiefs at -130, you will end up with $100. If you bet $100 on the underdog 49ers at +110, you will wind up with $110.
You already know the Chiefs will have a smaller payout than the 49ers, but by how much? Here are the calculations.
- $100 on the Chiefs: $76.92 payout
- $100 on the 49ers: $110 payout
The Chiefs ultimately won the Super Bowl, so their moneyline bettors left the NFL season happy with a decent payout.
Example 2
So we covered the Super Bowl 54, which was expected to be a close game at the end. But what about an expected blowout?
Let’s take a look at week 2 in the 2019 NFL season in a matchup between the New England Patriots and Miami Dolphins. The Patriots had Super Bowl aspirations, while the Dolphins had No. 1 overall draft pick aspirations.
Both plans ultimately fell flat, but the opposing directions of the franchises made for a lopsided expectation from oddsmakers.
According to DraftKings Sports Betting, the Patriots were listed at -2000 on the moneyline with the Dolphins at +1200. See how far away from 100 both these numbers are? A sign that a blowout is highly expected.
This is an extreme example as it’s fairly rare to have these types of numbers in an NFL game, but here’s what the payouts were for bettors:
- $100 on the Patriots: $5 payout
- $100 on the Dolphins: $1,200 payout
Yes, if you would’ve bet $100 on the Patriots to beat the Dolphins in this game last season, you’re walking away with five bucks. Is that worth the risk of a potential upset? That’s up to the bettor.
For what it’s worth, the Patriots won this game, 43-0.
How to Bet the Moneyline on College Basketball
Most college basketball betting scenarios would fit in the description above with the NFL, but what about this scenario? Let’s use a fictitious example. We’re getting ready for the national title game between, oh, let’s say Gonzaga and Kansas.
This would be a great game and who knows who would’ve been favored. However, for the purpose of this post, let’s say the two were so evenly matched the oddsmakers had no idea who’s going to win and it could go either way.
Here’s what the moneyline numbers could look like:
- Gonzaga -110
- Kansas -110
This doesn’t happen often, but occasionally teams are so close together and evenly matched that both teams feature identical negative moneyline numbers.
Either winner in this scenario would lead to a $90.91 payout on a $100 moneyline bet.
How to Bet the Moneyline on UFC Events
An individual sport like UFC is made for moneyline betting. While traditional team sports will show several categories to potentially bet on with different options, UFC betting is mainly focused on the moneyline.
Who do you think will win the fight? If you are confident about it, bet on that fighter.
UFC betting offers additional betting options, but moneyline wagers are far and away the focal point.
Let’s go to UFC 249 in Jacksonville for our example with a fight between TonyFerguson, whose moneyline odds were listed at -200 according to DraftKings, and JustinGaethje and his +168 moneyline odds as the underdog.
Here’s how the payouts would’ve gone had you bet on either fighter.
- $100 on Tony Ferguson: $50 payout
- $100 on Justin Gaethje: $168 payout
How To Bet On The Moneyline Rule
As the underdog, Gaethje won the fight, so his bettors had a fun start to the return of live sports.
How to Bet the Moneyline on Soccer
The previous sports are easier to understand and fairly straight forward in regards to the moneyline, but soccer is a little bit different.
Most sports list the moneyline with two options. One team wins or the other team wins. However, in soccer there are three options to choose from on the moneyline because of the amount of draws that occur.
For our example, let’s go back to the 2018 World Cup between France and Croatia.
France entered the match as the favorite with a -110 moneyline number, while Croatia entered as the underdog with a +350 moneyline.
Bettors could decide a winner that way, but the third option of a draw at the end of regulation was listed at +230. Instead of picking a team, bettors could opt to bet on a draw if they believed the teams are that evenly matched.
Here’s a calculation of the 2018 World Cup payouts:
- $100 on France: $90.91 payout
- $100 on Croatia: $350 payout
- $100 on a draw: $230 payout
France wound up with a 4-2 victory as the favorite.
How to Bet Guides
Key Takeaways on the Moneyline
So what did we learn today?
How To Bet On The Moneyline Bet
- Moneyline bets consist of picking the team you think will win.
- Betting the moneyline favorite has a lesser payout.
- Betting the moneyline underdog has a larger payout.
- Soccer has three moneyline options to choose from.
In the world of sports betting, a money line bet is simply betting on which team you expect to win. It doesn’t have anything to do with a spread. You may also see a money line bet listed as “Money Line” or “ML” in different spaces.
Money lines are represented in negative and positive values.
Negative money line: -145, -220, or anything similar
When you see a minus (-) sign in front of a price, it shows you that team is the favorite to win the game.
That number also indicates how much money you need to bet/spend in order to win $100.
For example, a -220 money line means you need to bet $220 in order to win $100 provided the team you bet on actually does win.
Heavy favorites are known in sports betting as a “chalk” pick. A heavy favorite usually has a number pushing +300 or more. Here, you’re wagering a lot on the favorite to win a little. Don’t assume that a heavy favorite, or chalk pick, is a guaranteed winner…
Positive money line: +145, +220, or anything similar
Moneyline Betting System
When you see a plus (+) sign in front of a price, it shows you that team is the underdog. Higher numbers like +400, +500, +5000, etc. represent how much of an underdog the team is in the game. The higher the number the more likely the team is expected to lose in the eyes of the oddsmakers.
The number also indicates how much money would win in comparison to every $100 you wager.
For example, a +150 money line means you would win $150 for each $100 wager you place should that team win the game.
Money line examples:
How To Bet On The Moneyline Numbers
Lets use an NFL example here:
New England Patriots -240
Miami Dolphins +220
To bet the New England Patriots to win on the money line, you would need to spend $240 on the bet for a chance to win $100 if the Patriots beat the Dolphins. Your return would be $340 – the original $240 stake (bet) and the $100 bet profit.
How To Bet On The Moneyline Nfl
What Does Moneyline Bet Mean
To bet the Miami Dolphins to win on the money line, you would spend $100 on the bet for a chance to win $220 if the Dolphins, as the underdog, beat the Patriots. Your return would be $320 – the original $100 stake (bet) and the $220 profit.
In both situations, it doesn’t matter if the team you bet on wins by one point or 100 points. You’re purely betting on the team you believe will win the game. As Al Davis said, “Just win, baby.” That’s exactly what you’d be looking for out of your selection. It doesn’t have to be pretty, it just has to happen or your original stake is lost.